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- As per a Jefferies report,
Birla Opus ’ dealer pricing is at a discount to the industry leader,Asian Paints . - The sector is already reeling from weak demand even in the peak festival/wedding season of November and December.
- A few brokerages believe that Asian Paints will be impacted
Opus , others think that smaller, unorganized players will face more heat.
After announcing its entry into the paints business last September, the
“The dealer pricing for the Birla Opus paint portfolio is broadly at around 5% discount to Asian Paints in most cases across premium and economy categories, based on our analysis. However, the prices appear to be similar to Asian Paints in the luxury segment, where the price sensitivity is relatively low,” said Jefferies.
These dealer discounts are in addition to its limited-period promotional offer of a 10% volume discount across all water-based paint products. “After factoring in the volume discounts and the lower prices, the cumulative discount to Asian Paints comes broadly around 10-15%,” the report added.
Grasim, which owns Birla Opus, said that it will offer a full suite of high-quality products in the decorative paints segment — whose size is estimated at ₹70,000 crore. The company had earlier said that it has committed an investment of ₹10,000 crore to set up the paints business. It has plans to commission capacity to the tune of 1,300 million tonnes per annum FY25.
Weak demand and rising competition
Birla’s ambitious plans will increase the competitive intensity in the decorative paints segment. This is on top of a slow demand pickup during the festive and wedding season of November and December. The market leader Asian Paints has already taken price cuts, which were expected to bring in improved sales in the summer of 2024.
“Asian paint has taken around ₹15 per litre price cuts in the premium emulsion segment in February 2024 and around ₹2 in economic emulsion. Dealers expect Asian Paints to execute around a 5% price cut in April 2024 in the luxury segment,” said a report Centrum.
Brokerages, however, are mixed in their views of how Grasim’s entry will affect the sector as a whole. “Dealers said it’s too early to stamp success for Birla Opus, though Grasim’s entry may escalate competitive intensity and smaller players including unorganised segments are more vulnerable to losing market share,” opines Centrum.
Jefferies, which has reported discounts Grasim, thinks otherwise. “We expect flat earnings per share for Asian Paints over the next two years, due to a rise in competition and see downside risk to our below consensus forecasts,” it says.
Recently, Grasim raised a Rs 1,250 crore investment from the International Finance Corporation (IFC). The investment marked the first Sustainability Linked Non-Convertible Debentures (NCD) for the company. The funds are to be used to strengthen the company’s endeavours in the paint manufacturing industry.
Whether it affects the market leaders or not, Grasim is making a steady entry into the sector. It has a wide portfolio across price points with 145 products, and over 2,300 shades. Moreso, it has plans to distribute pan-India July 2024, and is also connecting with influencers along with several other marketing initiatives. Overall, its entry is set to cause an upheaval in the sector.